What is 'Risk
Tolerance' Really?
Dictionary.com describes Risk as “the hazard or chance of loss”
and Risk Tolerance as “the
degree of uncertainty that an investor can handle in regards to a
negative
change in the value of their portfolio.”
What if we combined these
two
definitions? Then we’d have a definition for risk tolerance that
reads like
this: “The degree of loss that an investor can handle in regards
to a negative
change in the value of their portfolio.” And, this makes sense to
me.
However, when you
substitute
different meanings, you get confusion which leads to fear; which leads
to lack
of control; which leads to even more fear and financial decisions based
on fear
of loss, or worse – desperation. None
of
these will help either the individual investor or the advisor trying to
help
the investor, nor the market swings that are so susceptible to investor
psychology.
We want to create wealth
– not
fear. In order to create wealth, you
have to have confidence, which comes from a sense of control.
What makes NO sense to me
is the
tighter and tighter regulations for investment accounts and the
continual
‘enhancement’ of the account opening documents that are
intended to help
protect the investor and provide an investment advisor with insight
into the investor’s
personal preferences and financial situation. I don’t understand
why it is so
difficult to bring the personal values and priorities into the
discussion about
investing.
Rather than impersonal
phrases that
have mixed meanings about risk tolerance and rate of return
expectations and
‘common financial goals’, it seems to me that an
investor’s key criteria for
taking control over their investments while working effectively with an
investment advisor isn’t a complicated, lengthy and impersonal
documentation
process, but a better understanding of some key personal preferences in
areas
such as:
- Why do I want this
investment?
- What about the investment
is attractive to me and why?
- What criteria am I
relying on to make my investment decision?
- When will I get out of
this investment – price, timeframe, fundamental changes to the
investment itself?
- How will I monitor it?
- What amount of my total
investment am I really prepared to lose?
- What is the impact of
that loss to my life?
- Who is helping me make
the decision to buy, to monitor the investment and the decision to sell?
- What about this
relationship is appealing to me and why?
- What is their
responsibility and what is my responsibility in the process?
To understand risk
tolerance, you have to understand yourself. By doing
so, you learn to take control of what might otherwise seem
uncontrollable. If
you know that you are relying on the advice of
your advisor as your
primary decision making criteria for buying, holding and selling
investments
then you have to take control of what you can, a key component being
your
comfort level with loss. This is the amount of money you could
conceivably lose
before your life would be affected either because the loss forced you
to alter
your lifestyle negatively, or because you couldn’t sleep worrying
about what
you should do.
This means that if you
answered the
question about risk tolerance and described yourself as a moderate
investor,
then this would likely be interpreted to mean that you could withstand
a 15-25%
drop in your portfolio value – meaning you have said that
‘the degree of loss
you can handle in regards to a negative change in the value of your
portfolio’
is 15-25%; meaning that if your portfolio (or individual investment if
that’s
what you’re looking at) dropped below that stated figure, you
have already predetermined
this to be the maximum you could comfortably lose.
Your stated risk
tolerance is really your predetermined exit plan for
your investment.
When you were in an unemotional state, you made a decision about when
you would
sell your investment. This means that if you’re at that point now
and
questioning what to do, the way to take back control of your money in a
market
that doesn’t seem very controllable to the average investor is to:
- First,
revisit your account opening documentation for your risk tolerance
(a.k.a. exit
plan).
- Second,
if you’re not there yet, then sit tight and revisit the
consequences and plan
with your investment advisor – see if there’s a better fit
for your current
situation.
- Third,
if you are at or below your tolerance point, then why are you still
hanging
on? Are you just afraid to take a loss?
Are you holding on ‘until it comes back’?
Remember, there are opportunity costs to doing
something as well as not
doing something, and perhaps you need to consider some other options
given the
current economy? If the basis for the investment is still sound then
was that
one of your original criteria for determining when you would sell?
Likely, not
for most investors, so what you have to work with is what you can be in
control
of and that is price and your personal comfort level with loss.
- Fourth,
shift your focus away from the percentage of loss, or actual dollar
figure lost
and instead relate everything to its relationship to income, both your
current
income and your income for tomorrow.
I’ve used this
example before, and
will again, because it says a lot for
the importance of these concepts
in real
dollars and cents: If you invested $100k and said you have a 10%
risk
tolerance, you have said that if your $100k dropped in value to $90k,
you would
sell because you were not comfortable losing more than $10k. A critical
figure
in assessing this is to also understand that the $100k portfolio
invested at 8%
for 20 years would provide a monthly income of $836.44.
And the $90k portfolio invested the same way
would provide $752.80 per month. The
difference between the two portfolios is $83.64.
So my questions to you as
it relates
to determining risk tolerance are these: What is ‘the degree of loss (as
it relates to income) can you handle in regards to a negative change in
the
value of your portfolio?’ Or,
what
is the impact of that $83.64 and where else can you find that
money?”

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Money
expert Tracy
Piercy,
CFP is the founder and CEO of MoneyMinding Inc., a wealth-building
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